Best Time to Fly MCO to MDW: On-Time Stats by Hour & Airline
Orlando International → Chicago Midway International
Data through July 2026 · Last updated October 18, 2026
Over the last 12 months, 70.3% of Orlando (MCO) to Chicago (MDW) flights arrived on time (2,760 scheduled flights). That is 7.3 points below the national average of 77.6%.
Frontier Airlines was the most punctual of the 2 airlines on the route at 76.1%, while Southwest Airlines trailed at 69.8%.
November has been the best month (85% on time) and Sunday the weakest day of the week (67%).
1.8% of flights were cancelled, versus 1.8% nationally.
MCO to MDW on-time performance by airline
Last 12 months. Airlines with fewer than 30 completed flights are marked “limited data”.
| Airline | On time | Avg delay when late | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frontier Airlines | 76.1% | 83 min | 1.4% | 212 |
| Southwest Airlines | 69.8% | 57 min | 1.8% | 2,548 |
80%+ good 70–79.9% fair <70% poor
Best time of day to fly MCO to MDW
On-time arrival % by scheduled departure hour (local time), 5,528 flights over 24 months.
Show the numbers
| Departure hour | On time | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5am–6am | Limited data | 9 | |
| 6am–7am | 92.8% | 2.4% | 329 |
| 7am–8am | 92.5% | 1.2% | 513 |
| 8am–9am | 91.6% | 1.7% | 292 |
| 9am–10am | 85.5% | 1.8% | 283 |
| 10am–11am | 82.5% | 1.3% | 395 |
| 11am–12pm | 83.9% | 1.8% | 286 |
| 12pm–1pm | 77.1% | 1.5% | 339 |
| 1pm–2pm | 75.4% | 2.4% | 208 |
| 2pm–3pm | 73.3% | 1.6% | 243 |
| 3pm–4pm | 73.3% | 0.8% | 354 |
| 4pm–5pm | 67.2% | 1.6% | 365 |
| 5pm–6pm | 62.6% | 2.0% | 493 |
| 6pm–7pm | 64.2% | 2.3% | 428 |
| 7pm–8pm | 60.0% | 0.9% | 321 |
| 8pm–9pm | 54.2% | 1.1% | 352 |
| 9pm–10pm | 55.1% | 6.2% | 178 |
| 10pm–11pm | 65.9% | 2.9% | 140 |
Best day of the week
24 months, by day of departure.
Best month to fly
24 months, by calendar month.
Holiday travel on MCO to MDW
On-time arrivals during holiday periods compared with all other days, last 24 months.
| Period | On time | vs other days | Cancelled | Flights |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thanksgiving week (Tue before to Mon after) | 77.8% | +1.2 pts | 4.7% | 106 |
| Christmas & New Year (Dec 20 - Jan 3) | 69.0% | -7.5 pts | 0.8% | 242 |
| Summer peak (Jun 15 - Aug 15) | 67.4% | -9.1 pts | 2.5% | 995 |
| All other days | 76.6% | — | 1.6% | 4,185 |
Monthly on-time trend
On-time arrival % each month, with the 12-month US average for reference.
What causes delays on this route
Share of reported delay minutes, last 12 months (BTS cause categories).